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How to prevent USA’s the last move(Checkmate to start WW3) to China

  How to prevent USA’s the last move(Checkmate to start WW3) to China I thought about how to prevent USA’s the last move(Checkmate to start WW3) to China. First, what is the last move by USA to China? It is to recognize Taiwan’s independence to China. Then why will it to be checkmate to start WW3? Because I thought if Taiwan emergency by USA and China happens, Russia and North Korea will attack to South Korea and Japan. If Japan is attacked, Japan will start WW3. This is just my opinion, but not so far from truth. So what should we do for preventing USA’s the last move to China? I thought some options. Option A To defeat China economy before the last move. Option B To defeat USA economy before the last move. Option C To defeat both of USA and China before the last move. Option D To let both of USA and China win before the last move. These options are below matrix. USA/CHINA CHINA wins CHINA loses USA wins Option D Option A USA loses ...

Dissonance between President Trump and FRB

  Dissonance between President Trump and FRB I read this news. Trump readies order for steep tariffs on goods from Mexico, Canada, China https://www.reuters.com/business/trump-readies-order-steep-tariffs-goods-mexico-canada-china-2025-02-01/ I felt that there may be dissonance between President Trump and FRB. President Trump might think that FRB would cut interest rates, but FRB didn’t. I thought that President Trump wanted to order tariffs, and FRB would support it. Why does this dissonance happen? I think that there are difference between what President Trump watches and what FRB watches. President Trump may watch the future, but FRB watches past.

How to improve Pawn promotion probability

  How to improve Pawn promotion probability   In my economic view, there are 3 types of economic companies. Pawn: Domestic companies which work in own countries  Minor and Major pieces: Big companies which earn moneys in foreign countries  King: Central centers in own countries  Then, how to improve Pawn promotion probability? Supporting by Minor and Major pieces to Pawn may be good method. For example, if pawns in USA want to earn in China markets, supporting by Tesla, Microsoft and other Minor and Major pieces will be good. Conversely, if pawns in China want to earn in USA markets, supporting by Minor and Major pieces will be good. I recalled Mercari company’s fault. Mercari has tried to enter in USA markets only by itself, but it was failed. Because it had no support from minor and major pieces in Japan, such as TOYOTA or SoftBank.

TPP can stop the WW3

  TPP can stop the WW3 Background TPP(Trans-Pacific Partnership) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trans-Pacific_Partnership TPP is the trade agreement around Pacific Rim. Background2 USA and China have the conflict between them. This conflict has possibility about WW3. Can USA vs China turn to be USA & China? I hope Yes. It will be solved by USA and China to join TPP at the same time. TPP has rules about the trade agreements. If USA rejoins the TPP, China will be denied to join the TPP. If China joins the TPP, USA will be denied to join the TPP. So that if USA and China join TPP at the same time, this problem will be solved. Then if USA want to leave TPP, USA can’t rejoin the TPP because of the presence of China. The reverse is also true. TPP can bring USA and China bigger trades. More abstracted TPP is one example. There are some rules about the group just like TPP. Both = USA and China (1)There are benefits for both countries by joining the group. (2)T...

The ultimate insider trading

  The ultimate insider trading   I recalled Bank Of Japan(BOJ)’s actions in this year. BOJ bought JP¥ and sold US$ before BOJ cancelled minus interest rate. If CEOs of companies do same things, they will be arrested by public powers and rules. I think BOJ has to be punished by market. P.S. I deleted junk g-mail. If someone sent to me important mail, please resend it.

The bias

  The bias Bias We see the world through our biased eyes. There are 4 things/persons for the bias. 1)Bias 2)Persons who have bias  3)Persons who create the bias 4)Tools for to make the bias The number of 1) and 2) are bigger than 3) and 4). Essential few Essential few things/persons are 3) and 4). If we can focus on 3) and 4), we will see the world differently than others do. Who/What is 3) and 4)? Platforms are 4), for example big media companies, big tech companies. The workers in them may be 3). What should we do? We cannot escape from our biases. To avoid the biases control, I recommend tactics “Pivot our communities”. Pivot communities  Pivot is basketball technique. To join various communities is to pivot communities. Center of communities may be family, and pivot communities may be good.

U.S. Steel company

  U.S. Steel company Background Nippon Steel bid for U.S. Steel faces Sept. 23 review deadline, sources say https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/nippon-steel-bid-us-steel-faces-sept-23-review-deadline-sources-say-2024-09-13/ I saw the news that Nippon Steel wanted to buy U.S. Steel. I felt something wrong about it. Something wrong Why could Nippon Steel bid for U.S. Steel? There are many steel companies in the world, and there are a lot of companies for the bid. The reason they didn’t bid for U.S. Steel is that there is clear risk, American minds. So they didn’t touch the risk. I saw another news in Yahoo Japan… (This news is written in Japanese language.) https://news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/f561c66891d402f7ec4297f9bd9c9d7ce23585ff The important point is Nippon Steel made decision as soon as possible. Furthermore, Nippon Steel aims to buy a local(USA) steel company because cheap steel products are rejected by US protectionist trade. Some points I thought some poin...