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Legal Online CASINO: USA share markets

  Legal Online CASINO: USA share markets Background I was interested in this news. Tradeweb to extend trading hours the day after US election https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/tradeweb-extend-trading-hours-day-after-us-election-2024-10-31/ My thought Share markets has turned to be Legal Online CASINO. USA share markets’ rival will be real/online CASINO. How to invest good companies? Venture capital is the way, not to bet money on share markets. What will happen in share markets? Current share markets are not the field to invest good companies. They are the field to play “Old lady game”. Rich sells shares in high price and poor buy a small amount the shares. After stock markets crash, Rich buy the shares little by little in low price to collect them. This is the system, which is alike to a hamster wheel. One idea I have read the book “Just Keep Buying”. The book only told that Just Keep Buying the shares. I can write Python code and use GCP, so that the c
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The RED FLAGs

 2021/6/29.  The RED FLAGs in Tokyo Stock Market


I sold all my stocks in Tokyo Stock Market.

There seems to be some red flags in Tokyo Stock Market.


First of all, J-reit market’s average Net Asset Value(NAV) is high.

Almost all J-reit stocks’ NAV are over 1.

This means that J-reit stocks are more expensive than their real values.


Secondly, J-reit market’s average yields is 3.3%, it’s near 3%.

This is dangerous flag.

Aging country, especially as Japan, has low interest rates, but there are risk premiums.

Risk premium has to be higher than 3.5% in Japan. (This number is what I feel.)

Interest rates in Japan is under 0%, and I think it is equal to 0%.

So J-reit market’s average yields should be over 3.5%.


Third red flag is existence of individual investors.

They are end buyers, and they seem to bet their money in Tokyo Stock Market.


I don’t know when this bull market ends, but I quit this game and take a rest in some months.

Cash is king, and crash is near.




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Location: 日本、東京都

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