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Showing posts from 2018

Legal Online CASINO: USA share markets

  Legal Online CASINO: USA share markets Background I was interested in this news. Tradeweb to extend trading hours the day after US election https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/tradeweb-extend-trading-hours-day-after-us-election-2024-10-31/ My thought Share markets has turned to be Legal Online CASINO. USA share markets’ rival will be real/online CASINO. How to invest good companies? Venture capital is the way, not to bet money on share markets. What will happen in share markets? Current share markets are not the field to invest good companies. They are the field to play “Old lady game”. Rich sells shares in high price and poor buy a small amount the shares. After stock markets crash, Rich buy the shares little by little in low price to collect them. This is the system, which is alike to a hamster wheel. One idea I have read the book “Just Keep Buying”. The book only told that Just Keep Buying the shares. I can write Python code and use GCP, so that the c
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Korea is rival for Japan

2018/12/30.  Korea Korea is rival for Japan in economic trades. So that Japan has reason to suffer Korea companies , and Korea has , too. Korea companies ’ strong points are below. ( 1 ) Antitrust law not applicable to the big companies ( 2 ) Higher prices to domestic , and lower prices to overseas country ( 3 ) Samsung: Having a lot of customers ’ channels in the world ( 4 ) Strong to chemical materials:Lower price of crude oils are advantages ( 5 ) Strong to electric technology Korea ’ s strategy is “ Don ’ t focus on only domestic market ” . This is strong & important point. So if Japan wants to overcome to Korea , there are some methods. ( 1 ) Eliminate Korea from TPP forever. ( 2 ) Don ’ t make promises for current swap between Japanese Yen and Korean won. ( 3 ) Eliminate Samsung ’ s products from Japan market. I recommend Japan ’ s strategy “ Drop Korean ’ s trust and Get the Korean ’ s shares in foreign countries ” . And I
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Investment

2018/12/29. Investment  I changed my investment position from strong bear to weak bear or middle. I feel panic market is over. I still have put options , because I couldn ’ t cut them as losses.  And I sold 1360 bear ETF with small profits , then bought silver ETF. Silver is poor person ’ s gold.
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FRB

2018/12/28.  FRB No pains , no gain. USA will be great again. Maybe world economy is entering recession.  So stock prices are falling down. I don ’ t know how to stop falling , but “ Resilience ” is very important keyword. Resilience is the power of recovery. In economic world , it is the margin for rate cuts. USA has the margin for rate cuts about 2.5%. This 2.5% is very important reserve capacity. ( China has also has the margin for rate cuts about 4.35%… ) ( If there is no margin , the world economy ends. Because asset doesn ’ t give any profits. It means communism. ) And I feel Janet Yellen , FRB former chairman , is great person. She did very good work for resilience. This will guide USA to be great again.
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Stock market

2018/12/27.  Stock market I think stock market is on the ceiling. It ’ s the highest zone. Because the volatility is too high. There is old investor ’ s saying. The bottom & ceiling has high volatility. Of course , there is possibility that Japan and USA stock market is bottom , but I feel it ’ s difficult to think so. And high volatility is killing shorter. Furthermore , Japan and USA is different , this is important. Japan is sinking , and USA may raise again. (USA stock market may sink some months or years...) I mean that Nikkei average index will sink , but Dow index may raise again. There is difference between Japan and USA… Japan will be weaker…
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Citi bank(2)

2018/12/22.  Citi Bank: Caution? Risky? No… Dangerous… I am afraid about Citi bank ’ s stock price… Some insiders must know something we don ’ t know… $15 falling or 23% falling took 3 weeks… And current price is $50. This falling suggests that crash month is near… I think that 2019 February is the month or sooner than it…
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Citi bank

2018/12/21.  Citi bank Is Citi bank okay? Something will happen soon… Citi bank: Stock price https://www.bloomberg.co.jp/quote/C:US I am thinking why Citi bank ’ s stock price was falling at 2018/11/30… If stock price starts falling at month ending , I am thinking about capital crash.  Or some insiders knew bad news and they are selling first…
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Nikkei average index

2018/12/20.  Nikkei put option: I sold it too early… I couldn ’ t stand for holding nikkei put options… Trading it is very difficult for me… I am thinking about bear ETFs to buy more or hold them strongly… I bought some 1360 Nikkei bear ETF at ¥2909. I can ’ t sell them at current price ¥3210. Nikkei average index are incredible high price by some tricks. Some stocks are raising or keeping high price by big power. I think it will be disappear soon , so Nikkei average index will be lower.
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Nikkei put option

2018/12/18. Again , I bought put options... I bought put options again... I am interested in FRB ’ s action tonight. And I still have Nikkei bear ETF... No matter which raising interest rates or not , the world economic party was over , I think...
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Nikkei put option

2018/12/18. Nikkei put option: Got small money , but tired... I sold my put option with small profits... I got very emotional tired about watching market. I think I can ’ t trade options every time. I ’ ll seek easier money...
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Bitcoin

2018/12/15.  Bitcoin: Does it have real value? I haven ’ t bought bitcoin or other cryptocurrency. ( I did mining a little. ) And I feel Bitcoins doesn ’ t have own values. Of course , it has famous name & high price. Famous name is to be used , but no one can use it. So bitcoin has no meaning. And I got small angry about it. Because end buyers in stock markets bought bitcoins and lost their money. It leads not to happen last raising in stock markets. End buyers lost money by crypt currency , so that no one could buy stocks at highest price…
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Nikkei options

2018/12/15. Nikkei options: I speculated... I bought Nikkei options... I decided not to speculate , but I did. I bought put options , and its price got higher , but it ’ s speculation. I am not sure when to sell it. And I bought bear ETF , too. I hope I can get some more money from them. This deal is bad for my future & experience. If I am smart , I should buy gold by all money...
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Stock market : Last raising???

2018/12/12.  Nikkei average stocks prices index 日経平均株価 https://stocks.finance.yahoo.co.jp/stocks/chart/?code=998407.O&ct=z&t=ay&q=c&l=off&z=m&p=m65 , m130&a= I wonder that Nikkei average stocks prices index has already peaked out. In my experience , there were twin peaks at top point. And there are 2 peaks in graphical chart. They are small, but there are... I thought that there may be last raising in stock market , but now , I think there are not. I am buying gold ETFs now.  Of course , I don ’ t have many money. But I am buying. I wanted to invest by options , but it is difficult. Because I am not sure that there will be last raising. Some famous investors expects that there are , but I doubt it… And some investors warn that now is not investing to stocks & bonds.  So if you read this blog , please take care of your those assets. The loss of chances is not real loss , I think.
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Minus interest rates in Japan

2018/12/10.  Bank Of Japan: Minus interest rates ; They will keep it till ending Japan government will raise consumer taxes from 8% to 10% with some rules. My opinion I think Japan gov wants BOJ to keep on minus interest rates. Because they have huge debts. And they have to cut social fees and raise taxes. In addition , Japan gov wants to keep on low interest rates. Japanese consumers are prefer to pay by real-cash , not by credit cards. And it is the problem for Japan gov. Because if Japanese money are in their house , not in bank account , minus interest rates ’ effect will be smaller. Japan gov wants almost Japanese to shift their cash to bank account. So raising consumer taxes have payback rules that consumers pay by credit cards , not by real-cash. This payback rules will make consumers to pay by credit cards.
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South Korea : This difficult neighbor country…

2018/12/8.  South Korea : This difficult neighbor country… Japanese are getting angry to South Korea. Japanese can blame South Korea , and South Koreans have been blaming Japan.  If politics want to escape from their response , they can avoid it by blaming foreign country. And South Korea ’ s politics have been doing it to Japan. Economic growth rates will slow in Japan & South Korea. Both politicians are ready for blaming each others. Maybe both of Japanese & Korean have similar DNAs… I think they ( including me… Because I am Japanese ) will hate each others harder and harder. Economy of South Korea is depending to China , and South Korea is selling semi conductors.  So if WW3 happens in USA and China , I doubt that South Korea will be supporter to USA & Japan. I have confidence that Japan & USA will be good combination , and Japan will support USA. But I can ’ t believe South Koreans ’ saying and actions. They fought as old Japa
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Nissan: Revenge from Japan culture

2018/12/8.  Nissan: Revenge from Japan culture Former Nissan chairman Ghosn , CEO Saikawa signed documents related to payments: Asahi https://www.reuters.com/article/us-nissan-ghosn-payments/former-nissan-chairman-ghosn-ceo-saikawa-signed-documents-related-to-payments-asahi-idUSKBN1O60Y2 I am watching this news carefully. And there are some feelings under this trouble. The feelings are revenge : patriotism : fear = 50% : 35% : 15% Revenge is the feeling that Japanese subcontract companies & insiders in Nissan company. They are hating about CEO Ghosn because of cutting costs and abandon for promotions. Patriotism is the feeling that some want to get back Nissan car company from French company. Fear is the feeling that if president Ghosn keeps on staying as chairman , the Nissan company will be French company. And Mr.Ghosn will be prosecuted by Japan police… It will be winning for Japan police , because when Japan police prosecute , the trouble will
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Diary

2018/12/1.  World economy:Last 1 mile The stock market seems to be crash soon , but I think there is last raising. Because “ Fear & Greed Index ” is 22 now.  And there is the saying that “ Stocks climbs a wall of worry ” . So market person are worrying about crash now , and stocks will rise at last time. It's time for a hyper-crash , say multifractal analyses of the main stock market index https://phys.org/news/2018-11-hyper-crash-multifractal-analyses-main-stock.html Fear & Greed Index https://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/ I am worrying about another things. I don ’ t know how to get money from my expect… I can invest NIKKEI option or gold/silver ETF.  Investment to NIKKEI option is very difficult & high risky , but the earning is very big. Gold/silver investment is good and safety. It ’ s easy buying & waiting. I remember that George Soros ’ saying… If you are enjoying investment , it takes money. I agree thes
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Linux school

2018/11/27.  Linux school: I will graduate in soon… Linux school teachers taught me a lot. And it will help my future life. I learned how to use linux server , networks & html/css , php programming. I haven ’ t got LPIC level 1 , but I will try it in soon. LPIC level 1 was difficult , but now I can learn Linux by Oracle app “ Virtual Box ” . I am worrying about that app being paid one. Java was free language… Virtual Box is very powerful tool for beginners… Now , I am interested in PHP programming. And if I want to learn it more , virtual box is essential… #I returned to blogger. AWS site is very expensive to maintain , so I stopped.
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Cattel CFIT test:IQ124(sd16)

2018/11/24. Cattel CFIT test I got Cattel CFIT test yesterday. IQ 124 ( sd16 ), my score is.   I feel this score is right. This test seems to measure how people adapt to unknown situations. My score is worse than I expected. I hoped that I could get IQ 160 over... But I can ’ t. This is true. I notice that I have better IQ , but not genius. And this IQ score shows that where I belong in society , upper than middle , but lower than high class. My IQ scores Cattel CFIT 124 ( sd16 ) :63/100 Fiqure Online IQTest 157 ( sd15 ) Triple X light 148 ( sd15 ) :20/33 Free fall 132 ( sd15 ) :11/30 Fummm... I think being relax makes me doing good works. I don ’ t like noisy space. Emotion affects me a lot. I will try to have good emotions. Normal emotional mode:IQ120 Max emotional mode:IQ140-150 Bad emotional mode:Maybe IQ under 100 #I can ’ t decide if I write blog on blogger or new site... But I return to write blog or diary on blogger , and I
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Moving from blogger...

I am moving my blog from blogger to amazon AWS. This is NEW site URL: http://www.creating-favorite-opinions-kouhei.net Maybe I will write only to this site. I haven't got https URL yet, so smartphones are not suitable devices...
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Python or PHP

2018/10/19.  Python or PHP Python or PHP… Which one should I learn for next programming language? This is difficult question… I will learn PHP in school , but IT trend is Python… Simple question , what do I want to do by them? Making assistant tools for stock investment… ( I don ’ t know which is better for it… ) Maybe Python is the answer. I am afraid of wasting time for learning… But they are similar language , so learning both of them is not wasted time.
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Diary

2018/10/16.  Tools named motivations: Do you sell or buy them? This is criticism to the coaching… Do we really need motivations? If so , we try to do wrong things… Coaching is the method which sells motivations to others. These motivations are like mandrils in gold rush era. We use them for success. Success is just like gold. Almost all people try to get gold , but I think this gold is like bitcoin , it will disappear in soon.  We don ’ t have to get the success which is determined by coaching. Because the success is illusion. And coaching , this is the system of “ Ponzi scheme ” . Coaching will erase the pains of others in one time , but not forever. I have 3 or more choices to be happy. ( 1 ) Know the system , and ride it like a small rat. ( 2 ) Know the system , and get off the society rules. ( 3 ) Know the system , and make the system. Maybe I can do ( 1 ) and ( 2 ) . I can write about the motivations in Medium site. And I write about h
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Solar panels:Where did our tax go?

2018/10/13.  Solar panels:Where did our tax go? Solar energy is illusion. This is the system which is made by sands. Some of us have dream that we can use light energy better. But if we convert light to electric energy , there must be conversion loss. Conversion loss will be thermal energy. When green plants use light , they generate oxygen. But when we use light as energy , we generate small electric energy and thermal energy. We are one of crews in the earth , not top , I think.  Solar power system generate one more thing for us , money flow. Our tax are used for solar power system as assistant payment. When company sell solar electric power , government buy it by fixed price. The fixed price is standing on assistant payment. And solar panels… This is standing on simple scientific principles. Of course , if we want to understand these principles deeply , it is difficult. But the principles are simple.  So making solar panels doesn ’ t need di
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